FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 15 Aug · 17:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 15 Aug · 17:45 UK
FC Utrecht 48Draw 29AZ Alkmaar 23
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4

How it finished

AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave AZ Alkmaar 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. FC Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.

FC UtrechtFull-time statsAZ Alkmaar
48%Possession52%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.9
8Shots24
2Shots on target9
6Shots inside box11
1Big chances1
3Corners9
5Saves1
23Fouls14
1Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Utrecht 48%AZ Alkmaar (23% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Utrecht to score83%
Over 1.5 goals80%
AZ Alkmaar to score69%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave AZ Alkmaar 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. FC Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.

What was the final score in FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 48%, the draw 29% and AZ Alkmaar 23%.

What were the stats in FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–9, Saves 5–1, Fouls 23–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

Yes — both FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Utrecht 48%, it finished AZ Alkmaar (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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