AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave AZ Alkmaar 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. FC Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
AZ Alkmaar beat FC Utrecht 4–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Utrecht at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave AZ Alkmaar 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. FC Utrecht had 8 shots (2 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 24 (9), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 48%, the draw 29% and AZ Alkmaar 23%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–9, Saves 5–1, Fouls 23–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Yes — both FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Utrecht 48%, it finished AZ Alkmaar (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.