Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Porto

Team profile · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal

Porto Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

8 settled

Goals for

1.60

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.04

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

63%

5/8 calls

Porto prediction: for Porto's next match — Rio Ave vs Porto on Saturday 15 Aug, 19:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Porto win looks most likely (35%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Porto defend well, conceding 1.04 expected goals per game — below the Liga Portugal average of 1.38. Next up is a trip to Rio Ave, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 35%.

Next match

Away vs Rio Ave · Saturday 15 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Win

35%

Porto

Draw

33%

Loss

31%

Rio Ave

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 77%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

5W 1D 2L

Real goals

1.4 – 0.9

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Porto compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for

1.60

Above average

Goals against

1.04

Tighter than most

Scored1.60

Conceded1.04

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says

Strong in attack

Averaging 1.60 xG per match · +0.25 above the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average of 1.36.

Solid defensively

Conceding 1.04 xG per match · -0.34 vs league average of 1.38.

📊 Porto in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.8

Goals · per game

let in 0.6

🏠 2.0✈️ 1.6

5.5

Corners · per game

give up 3.2

🏠 5.4✈️ 5.6

14.2

Shots · per game

faced 10.2

🏠 14.2✈️ 14.1

5.2

On target · per game

faced 2.6

🏠 5.3✈️ 5.1

🗓️ Last 6 games

09 Aug

2-0

vs Alverca

🚩 7-9

01 Aug

1-0

vs Torreense

🚩 4-2

16 May

1-0

vs Santa Clara

🚩 8-5

10 May

1-3

@ AFS

🚩 -

02 May

1-0

vs Alverca

🚩 5-4

26 Apr

2-1

@ Estrela

🚩 6-0

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Porto matches

63%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Porto fixture, it is right 5 out of 8 (63%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.