Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 15 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 15 Aug · 20:30 UK
Rio Ave 31Draw 33FC Porto 35
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

FC Porto beat Rio Ave 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Rio Ave had 13 shots (1 on target) to FC Porto's 14 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.0.

Rio AveFull-time statsFC Porto
48%Possession52%
0.6Expected goals (xG)2.0
13Shots14
1Shots on target6
5Shots inside box9
0Big chances4
6Corners6
4Saves1
1Fouls10
1Offsides3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Porto 35%FC Porto (35% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score51%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals75%
FC Porto to score73%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Rio Ave to score70%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

FC Porto beat Rio Ave 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 35% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Rio Ave had 13 shots (1 on target) to FC Porto's 14 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

Rio Ave 0–2 FC Porto, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rio Ave 31%, the draw 33% and FC Porto 35%.

What were the stats in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–2.0, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 1–6, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 0–4, Corners 6–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 1–10, Offsides 1–3.

Did both teams score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?

No. It finished 0–2, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Rio Ave vs FC Porto right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Porto 35%, it finished FC Porto (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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