Bawler / Germany: Bundesliga / Augsburg

Team profile

Augsburg Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 17 August 2026

Shots

13.2

a game

14.8 faced

On target

4.6

a game

5.0 faced

Goals

1.3 – 1.8

scored – conceded

a game, 34 matches

Next match

42%

Augsburg win chance

vs Schalke 04 · Sun 30 Aug 15:30

Augsburg prediction: for Augsburg's next match — Augsburg vs Schalke 04 on Sunday 30 Aug, 15:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Augsburg win looks most likely (42%).

Augsburg are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.93 expected goals a game against a Bundesliga average of 1.63. Next up is Schalke 04, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 42%.

Augsburg in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 1.8

Home 1.5Away 1.2

4.6

Corners · per game

give up 5.6

Home 5.2Away 4.0

13.2

Shots · per game

faced 14.8

Home 13.2Away 13.2

4.6

On target · per game

faced 5.0

Home 5.1Away 4.2

Last 6 games

16 May

0-4

@ Union Berlin

9-4

09 May

3-1

vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

2-2

02 May

3-1

@ Werder Bremen

2-8

25 Apr

1-1

vs Eintracht Frankfurt

9-7

18 Apr

2-1

@ Bayer Leverkusen

4-11

10 Apr

2-2

vs Hoffenheim

4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Schalke 04 · Sunday 30 Aug, 15:30 UTC

Win

42%

Augsburg

Draw

27%

Loss

31%

Schalke 04

Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Augsburg compare with the Germany: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for

1.43

Below average

Goals against

1.93

Leakier than most

Record

2W 0D 2L

4 settled

Real goals

1.8 – 2.8

For / against, per match

Scored1.43

Conceded1.93

The grey line on each bar is the Germany: Bundesliga average (1.81 scored, 1.63 conceded).

What the data says

Misfiring in attack

Averaging 1.43 xG per match · -0.38 above the Germany: Bundesliga average of 1.81.

Leaky defensively

Conceding 1.93 xG per match · +0.31 vs league average of 1.63.

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Augsburg fixtures (4/4).

Recent matches (last 4)

Sat 16 May@ 1. FC Union Berlin

Win 29%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Sat 09 Mayvs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Win 40%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Sat 18 Apr@ Bayer Leverkusen

Win 12%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Sun 22 Marvs Stuttgart

Win 33%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INRodrigo RibeiroSTfrom Sporting CP€5m

INHennes BehrensLBfrom Hoffenheim€3.5m

INSima SusoCBfrom Fortuna Düsseldorf€1.6m

INCalvin BrackelmannCBfrom PaderbornFree transfer

INMichael GregoritschSTfrom Brøndby IF€500k

INFaik Sakarfrom RB LeipzigFree transfer

INTom Wisbereitfrom Union BerlinFree transfer

OUTDimitrios GiannoulisLWBto PAOK Thessaloniki€4.3m

OUTCédric ZesigerCBto Young Boys€3.5m

OUTElvis RexhbeçajCMto WolfsburgFree transfer

OUTMarcel LubikGKto Wisła KrakówLoan

OUTElias SaadLWto Nashville SCLoan

OUTYusuf KabadayiLMto RijekaLoan

OUTAiman DardariLMto RW EssenLoan

OUTKyliane DongSTto Bolton WanderersLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Augsburg Prediction

Augsburg in numbers

Next match

Attack vs defence

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

More on Augsburg and the model