FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 prediction — Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 16:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug · 16:30 UK
FC Augsburg 53Draw 23Schalke 04 24
The call
83%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0

How it finished

FC Augsburg beat Schalke 04 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Augsburg in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. FC Augsburg had 24 shots (13 on target) to Schalke 04's 11 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 1.5.

FC AugsburgFull-time statsSchalke 04
47%Possession53%
3.5Expected goals (xG)1.5
24Shots11
13Shots on target5
18Shots inside box7
9Big chances3
11Corners3
4Saves10
5Fouls6
3Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Augsburg 53%FC Augsburg (53% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score62%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 83%Landed
Second callHome Win 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Augsburg to score86%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Schalke 04 to score72%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

FC AugsburgBefore half-timeSchalke 04
55%Chance to score43%
6.2Expected shots4.9
2.1Expected shots on target1.5
2.8Expected corners2.7
71%Chance of 5+ shots53%
42%Chance of 7+ shots24%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
36%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
75%Chance of 2+ corners72%
32%Chance of 4+ corners28%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 74%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Oct 2024Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04
Mar 2023Augsburg 1–1 Schalke 04
Oct 2022Schalke 04 2–3 Augsburg
Jul 2022Schalke 04 1–1 Augsburg
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

FC Augsburg beat Schalke 04 3–0. Bawler's model had FC Augsburg in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. FC Augsburg had 24 shots (13 on target) to Schalke 04's 11 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 1.5.

What was the final score in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

FC Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the GERMANY: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Augsburg 53%, the draw 23% and Schalke 04 24%.

What were the stats in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–1.5, Shots 24–11, Shots on target 13–5, Shots inside box 18–7, Big chances 9–3, Corners 11–3, Saves 4–10, Fouls 5–6, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

No. It finished 3–0, so Schalke 04 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Augsburg 53%, it finished FC Augsburg (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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