Germany: BundesligaSunday 30 Aug, 15:30 UTC

FC Augsburg vSchalke 04

Most likely scoreline
11
12% of the time · 2.73 goals expected
FC Augsburg 42%Draw 27%Schalke 04 31%
How we get there
FC AugsburgstepSchalke 04
1.47Base xG · rolling 26-match1.26
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.47Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.26

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Augsburg average 5.2 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
7
8
5
2
1
1
10
12
8
3
1
2
7
9
6
2
1
3
3
4
3
1
4
1
2
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Augsburg vs Schalke 04 — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Augsburg and Schalke 04 — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Augsburg 42% · draw 27% · Schalke 04 31%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.