This week · Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov

Liga Portugal predictions

Our model's forecast for this week's Liga Portugal matches: the chance of each result, our predicted score and Bawler's pick. Every match links to its full preview, and every pick is settled on our track record after full time.

Fixtures, Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov

FC Famalicao v Arouca

Fri 6 Nov · 20:45
FC Famalicao
FC Famalicao
45%
Draw
28%
Arouca
Arouca
27%
Predicted score: FC Famalicao 1–0 Arouca
Bawler's pick44% · fair price 5/4 (2.26)
  • FC Famalicao or Draw73%
  • FC Famalicao Over 10.5 Shots82%
  • Georgios Koutsias 1+ Shot on Target65%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

C.D. Nacional v Académico de Viseu

Sat 7 Nov · 15:30
C.D. Nacional
C.D. Nacional
24%
Draw
25%
Académico de Viseu
Académico de Viseu
51%
Predicted score: C.D. Nacional 0–1 Académico de Viseu
Bawler's pick56% · fair price 4/5 (1.78)
  • Académico de Viseu or Draw76%
  • Académico de Viseu Over 8.5 Shots77%
  • Académico de Viseu Over 1.5 Shots on Target90%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Alverca v Casa Pia

Sat 7 Nov · 18:00
Alverca
Alverca
54%
Draw
25%
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
21%
Predicted score: Alverca 1–0 Casa Pia
Bawler's pick50% · fair price Evens (2.00)
  • Alverca or Draw79%
  • Alverca Over 9.5 Shots81%
  • Dawda Camara 2+ Shots71%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Sporting CP v Moreirense

Sat 7 Nov · 20:30
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
75%
Draw
17%
Moreirense
Moreirense
8%
Predicted score: Sporting CP 2–0 Moreirense
Bawler's pick57% · fair price 4/5 (1.77)
  • Sporting CP or Draw92%
  • Guilherme Liberato 1+ Foul Committed75%
  • Luis Suárez 1+ Shot on Target75%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Estoril v Maritimo

Sun 8 Nov · 15:30
Estoril
Estoril
45%
Draw
26%
Maritimo
Maritimo
29%
Predicted score: Estoril 2–1 Maritimo
Bawler's pick47% · fair price 11/10 (2.14)
  • Estoril or Draw71%
  • Estoril Over 10.5 Shots81%
  • André Lacximicant 2+ Shots74%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Santa Clara v Gil Vicente

Sun 8 Nov · 15:30
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
40%
Draw
31%
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
30%
Predicted score: Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente
Bawler's pick45% · fair price 5/4 (2.24)
  • Santa Clara or Draw70%
  • Santa Clara Over 8.5 Shots79%
  • Gonçalo Paciência 2+ Shots73%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Vitória de Guimaraes v FC Porto

Sun 8 Nov · 18:00
Vitória de Guimaraes
Vitória de Guimaraes
19%
Draw
25%
FC Porto
FC Porto
57%
Predicted score: Vitória de Guimaraes 0–1 FC Porto
Bawler's pick44% · fair price 5/4 (2.26)
  • FC Porto or Draw81%
  • FC Porto Over 10.5 Shots76%
  • Borja Sainz 2+ Shots65%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Estrela v Benfica

Sun 8 Nov · 20:30
Estrela
Estrela
10%
Draw
18%
Benfica
Benfica
72%
Predicted score: Estrela 0–2 Benfica
Bawler's pick52% · fair price 10/11 (1.91)
  • Benfica or Draw90%
  • Leandro Antonetti 1+ Foul Committed74%
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ Shot on Target72%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Rio Ave v Braga

Sun 8 Nov · 20:30
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
17%
Draw
24%
Braga
Braga
59%
Predicted score: Rio Ave 0–1 Braga
Bawler's pick50% · fair price Evens (2.01)
  • Braga or Draw83%
  • Braga Over 13.5 Shots78%
  • Ricardo Horta 2+ Shots71%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →
18+Prices are our own fair prices, not a bookmaker's. Forecasts, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly.BeGambleAware.org

Bawler's pick record in the Liga Portugal

11
Picks
1
Won
1
Lost
9
Still to play

We show how often the picks land once 20 have been settled in this league. Every pick is logged before kickoff. See the full track record.

Last round's picks

Liga Portugal predictions: your questions

Who does Bawler's model favour in the Liga Portugal this week?

Sporting CP are the clearest favourites: our model gives them a 75% chance of beating Moreirense at home on Sat 7 Nov. Next come Benfica (72%) and Braga (59%).

Which Liga Portugal match is hardest to call this week?

Santa Clara v Gil Vicente. Our model gives Santa Clara 40%, the draw 31% and Gil Vicente 30%. Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1-0 Gil Vicente, the most likely score if Santa Clara win.

Which of Bawler's Liga Portugal picks is most likely to land this week?

Sporting CP v Moreirense: Sporting CP or Draw, Guilherme Liberato 1+ Foul Committed, Luis Suárez 1+ Shot on Target. Our model gives all 3 landing together a 57% chance, a fair price of 4/5 (1.77). 18+, please gamble responsibly.