This week · Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov

Ligue 1 predictions

Our model's forecast for this week's Ligue 1 matches: the chance of each result, our predicted score and Bawler's pick. Every match links to its full preview, and every pick is settled on our track record after full time.

Fixtures, Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov

Toulouse v Strasbourg

Fri 6 Nov · 19:45

Toulouse

45%

Draw

25%

Strasbourg

29%

Predicted score: Toulouse 2–1 Strasbourg

Bawler's pick54% · fair price 5/6 (1.86)

Toulouse or Draw71%
Toulouse Over 12.5 Shots80%
Casper Tengstedt 2+ Shots87%

Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

AJ Auxerre v Paris FC

Sat 7 Nov · 16:15

AJ Auxerre

33%

Draw

26%

Paris FC

40%

Predicted score: AJ Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC

Bawler's pick45% · fair price 5/4 (2.23)

Both Teams to Score57%
Over 18.5 Total Shots81%
Cameron Archer 1+ Shot87%
Lassine Sinayoko 1+ Shot88%

Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

Stade Rennais v Lille

Sun 8 Nov · 14:00

Stade Rennais

41%

Draw

25%

Lille

34%

Predicted score: Stade Rennais 2–1 Lille

Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.19)

Both Teams to Score63%
Over 23.5 Total Shots80%
Mousa Tamari 1+ Shot83%
Soriba Diaoune 1+ Shot87%

Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

Angers v Nice

Sun 8 Nov · 16:15

Angers

38%

Draw

27%

Nice

36%

Predicted score: Angers 2–1 Nice

Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.15)

Both Teams to Score58%
Over 22.5 Total Shots79%
Jim Allevinah 1+ Shot90%
Elye Wahi 1+ Shot90%

Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

Brest v Lyon

Sun 8 Nov · 16:15

Brest

39%

Draw

26%

Lyon

35%

Predicted score: Brest 2–1 Lyon

Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.17)

Both Teams to Score59%
Over 22.5 Total Shots77%
Mama Baldé 1+ Shot92%
Ernest Nuamah 1+ Shot88%

Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

Le Havre AC v Lorient

Sun 8 Nov · 16:15

Le Havre AC

38%

Draw

27%

Lorient

35%

Predicted score: Le Havre AC 1–0 Lorient

Bawler's pick67% · fair price 1/2 (1.48)

Over 19.5 Total Shots81%
Over 5.5 Total Corners84%
Over 4.5 Total Shots on Target84%

Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

Le Mans v AS Monaco

Sun 8 Nov · 16:15

Le Mans

27%

Draw

24%

AS Monaco

49%

Predicted score: Le Mans 1–2 AS Monaco

Bawler's pick51% · fair price Evens (1.97)

AS Monaco or Draw73%
AS Monaco Over 12.5 Shots78%
Paris Brunner 2+ Shots82%

Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

Lens v Marseille

Sun 8 Nov · 19:45

Lens

55%

Draw

22%

Marseille

23%

Predicted score: Lens 2–1 Marseille

Bawler's pick45% · fair price 5/4 (2.23)

Lens or Draw77%
Lens Over 12.5 Shots79%
Franjo Ivanovic 1+ Shot on Target64%

Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.

Full preview →

18+Prices are our own fair prices, not a bookmaker's. Forecasts, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly.BeGambleAware.org

Bawler's pick record in the Ligue 1

Picks

Won

Lost

Still to play

We show how often the picks land once 20 have been settled in this league. Every pick is logged before kickoff. See the full track record.

Ligue 1 predictions: your questions

Who does Bawler's model favour in the Ligue 1 this week?

Lens are the clearest favourites: our model gives them a 55% chance of beating Marseille at home on Sun 8 Nov. Next come AS Monaco (49%) and Toulouse (45%).

Which Ligue 1 match is hardest to call this week?

Angers v Nice. Our model gives Angers 38%, the draw 27% and Nice 36%. Our predicted score is Angers 2-1 Nice, the most likely score if Angers win.

Which of Bawler's Ligue 1 picks is most likely to land this week?

Le Havre AC v Lorient: Over 19.5 Total Shots, Over 5.5 Total Corners, Over 4.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all 3 landing together a 67% chance, a fair price of 1/2 (1.48). 18+, please gamble responsibly.