This week · Wed 4 – Thu 5 Nov

Europa League predictions

Our model's forecast for this week's Europa League matches: the chance of each result, our predicted score and Bawler's pick. Every match links to its full preview, and every pick is settled on our track record after full time.

Fixtures, Wed 4 – Thu 5 Nov

Stade Rennais v Olympiacos

Wed 4 Nov · 15:30
Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais
41%
Draw
26%
Olympiacos
Olympiacos
33%
Predicted score: Stade Rennais 2–1 Olympiacos
Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.15)
  • Both Teams to Score61%
  • Over 22.5 Total Shots80%
  • Mousa Tamari 1+ Shot83%
  • Jota Silva 1+ Shot91%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Sparta Prague v AFC Bournemouth

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague
11%
Draw
18%
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
71%
Predicted score: Sparta Prague 0–2 AFC Bournemouth
Bawler's pick45% · fair price 5/4 (2.24)
  • AFC Bournemouth or Draw89%
  • AFC Bournemouth Over 10.5 Shots77%
  • Evanilson 2+ Shots59%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Real Sociedad v Lyon

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
45%
Draw
24%
Lyon
Lyon
31%
Predicted score: Real Sociedad 2–1 Lyon
Bawler's pick50% · fair price Evens (2.00)
  • Both Teams to Score65%
  • Over 20.5 Total Shots81%
  • Luka Sučić 1+ Shot87%
  • Ernest Nuamah 1+ Shot86%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
38%
Draw
25%
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
36%
Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Omonia Nicosia
Bawler's pick59% · fair price 4/6 (1.69)
  • Over 24.5 Total Shots77%
  • Over 6.5 Total Corners77%
  • Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target84%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Lillestrom v Viktoria Plzen

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
29%
Draw
26%
Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen
45%
Predicted score: Lillestrom 1–2 Viktoria Plzen
Bawler's pick46% · fair price 6/5 (2.18)
  • Viktoria Plzen or Draw71%
  • Viktoria Plzen Over 13.5 Shots77%
  • Viktoria Plzen Over 3.5 Shots on Target79%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia Bialystok

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
36%
Draw
26%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok
37%
Predicted score: Levski Sofia 1–2 Jagiellonia Bialystok
Full preview →

Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
60%
Draw
21%
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim
19%
Predicted score: Crystal Palace 2–1 TSG Hoffenheim
Bawler's pick40% · fair price 6/4 (2.51)
  • Crystal Palace or Draw81%
  • Crystal Palace Over 11.5 Shots78%
  • Yéremi Pino 2+ Shots57%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Anderlecht v RB Salzburg

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
45%
Draw
24%
RB Salzburg
RB Salzburg
30%
Predicted score: Anderlecht 2–1 RB Salzburg
Bawler's pick59% · fair price 4/6 (1.69)
  • Over 25.5 Total Shots79%
  • Over 6.5 Total Corners80%
  • Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target80%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

AC Milan v Ferencvaros

Thu 5 Nov · 17:45
AC Milan
AC Milan
47%
Draw
26%
Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros
27%
Predicted score: AC Milan 1–0 Ferencvaros
Bawler's pick50% · fair price Evens (1.98)
  • AC Milan or Draw73%
  • AC Milan Over 12.5 Shots79%
  • Gonçalo Ramos 2+ Shots80%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Torreense v Ararat-Armenia

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Torreense
Torreense
65%
Draw
20%
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
14%
Predicted score: Torreense 2–0 Ararat-Armenia
Bawler's pick53% · fair price 10/11 (1.90)
  • Torreense or Draw86%
  • Torreense Over 6.5 Shots83%
  • Torreense Over 1.5 Shots on Target84%
  • Torreense Over 2.5 Corners79%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Sunderland
Sunderland
62%
Draw
22%
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
16%
Predicted score: Sunderland 2–0 Dinamo Zagreb
Bawler's pick54% · fair price 5/6 (1.85)
  • Sunderland or Draw84%
  • Sunderland Over 11.5 Shots79%
  • Sunderland Over 1.5 Shots on Target89%
  • Sunderland Over 2.5 Corners83%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

SK Sturm Graz v NK Celje

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
SK Sturm Graz
SK Sturm Graz
46%
Draw
26%
NK Celje
NK Celje
27%
Predicted score: SK Sturm Graz 1–0 NK Celje
Full preview →

Hapoel Be'er v OFI Crete

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Hapoel Be'er
Hapoel Be'er
28%
Draw
27%
OFI Crete
OFI Crete
45%
Predicted score: Hapoel Be'er 0–1 OFI Crete
Full preview →

Celtic v Besiktas

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Celtic
Celtic
39%
Draw
25%
Besiktas
Besiktas
36%
Predicted score: Celtic 2–1 Besiktas
Bawler's pick51% · fair price 10/11 (1.94)
  • Both Teams to Score63%
  • Over 25.5 Total Shots79%
  • Camilo Durán 1+ Shot91%
  • Dusan Vlahovic 1+ Shot90%
Chance all 4 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Celta Vigo v Union St.-Gilloise

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
32%
Draw
27%
Union St.-Gilloise
Union St.-Gilloise
40%
Predicted score: Celta Vigo 0–1 Union St.-Gilloise
Bawler's pick66% · fair price 1/2 (1.51)
  • Over 24.5 Total Shots80%
  • Over 5.5 Total Corners82%
  • Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target84%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Benfica v Lech Poznan

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Benfica
Benfica
64%
Draw
19%
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
17%
Predicted score: Benfica 2–1 Lech Poznan
Bawler's pick53% · fair price 10/11 (1.90)
  • Benfica or Draw83%
  • Benfica Over 18.5 Shots76%
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ Shot on Target73%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Draw
21%
Marseille
Marseille
20%
Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Marseille
Bawler's pick49% · fair price 11/10 (2.06)
  • Bayer Leverkusen or Draw80%
  • Bayer Leverkusen Over 14.5 Shots78%
  • Patrik Schick 1+ Shot on Target69%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →

AZ Alkmaar v Juventus

Thu 5 Nov · 20:00
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
27%
Draw
25%
Juventus
Juventus
48%
Predicted score: AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Juventus
Bawler's pick49% · fair price 11/10 (2.06)
  • Juventus or Draw73%
  • Juventus Over 11.5 Shots79%
  • Juventus Over 2.5 Shots on Target78%
Chance all 3 land, and what it should pay if we're right.
Full preview →
18+Prices are our own fair prices, not a bookmaker's. Forecasts, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly.BeGambleAware.org

Bawler's pick record in the Europa League

15
Picks
0
Won
0
Lost
15
Still to play

We show how often the picks land once 20 have been settled in this league. Every pick is logged before kickoff. See the full track record.

Europa League predictions: your questions

Who does Bawler's model favour in the Europa League this week?

AFC Bournemouth are the clearest favourites: our model gives them a 71% chance of beating Sparta Prague away on Thu 5 Nov. Next come Torreense (65%) and Benfica (64%).

Which Europa League match is hardest to call this week?

Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia Bialystok. Our model gives Levski Sofia 36%, the draw 26% and Jagiellonia Bialystok 37%. Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok, the most likely score if Jagiellonia Bialystok win.

Which of Bawler's Europa League picks is most likely to land this week?

Celta Vigo v Union St.-Gilloise: Over 24.5 Total Shots, Over 5.5 Total Corners, Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all 3 landing together a 66% chance, a fair price of 1/2 (1.51). 18+, please gamble responsibly.