Bundesliga predictions
Our model's forecast for this week's Bundesliga matches: the chance of each result, our predicted score and Bawler's pick. Every match links to its full preview, and every pick is settled on our track record after full time.
Fixtures, Fri 6 – Sun 8 Nov
Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg
Sat 7 Nov · 14:30- Borussia Dortmund or Draw86%
- Borussia Dortmund Over 14.5 Shots78%
- Serhou Guirassy 1+ Shot on Target71%
Mainz v Bayern Munich
Sat 7 Nov · 14:30- Bayern Munich or Draw81%
- Phillip Tietz 1+ Foul Committed74%
- Harry Kane 1+ Shot on Target80%
RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg
Sat 7 Nov · 14:30- RB Leipzig or Draw87%
- RB Leipzig Over 16.5 Shots78%
- Rômulo 1+ Shot on Target65%
SC Paderborn 07 v Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 7 Nov · 14:30- Over 25.5 Total Shots78%
- Over 6.5 Total Corners78%
- Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target84%
VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen
Sat 7 Nov · 17:30- VfB Stuttgart or Draw82%
- VfB Stuttgart Over 16.5 Shots77%
- Deniz Undav 1+ Shot on Target69%
FC Cologne v Bayer Leverkusen
Sun 8 Nov · 14:30SC Freiburg v 1. FC Union Berlin
Sun 8 Nov · 16:30- SC Freiburg or Draw82%
- SC Freiburg Over 14.5 Shots79%
- Igor Matanović 1+ Shot on Target65%
TSG Hoffenheim v Schalke 04
Sun 8 Nov · 18:30- TSG Hoffenheim or Draw83%
- TSG Hoffenheim Over 14.5 Shots82%
- Adam Hložek 1+ Shot on Target64%
Bawler's pick record in the Bundesliga
We show how often the picks land once 20 have been settled in this league. Every pick is logged before kickoff. See the full track record.
Bundesliga predictions: your questions
Who does Bawler's model favour in the Bundesliga this week?
RB Leipzig are the clearest favourites: our model gives them a 71% chance of beating FC Augsburg at home on Sat 7 Nov. Next come Borussia Dortmund (68%) and Bayern Munich (63%).
Which Bundesliga match is hardest to call this week?
SC Paderborn 07 v Eintracht Frankfurt. Our model gives SC Paderborn 07 37%, the draw 28% and Eintracht Frankfurt 36%. Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt, the most likely score if SC Paderborn 07 win.
Which of Bawler's Bundesliga picks is most likely to land this week?
SC Paderborn 07 v Eintracht Frankfurt: Over 25.5 Total Shots, Over 6.5 Total Corners, Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all 3 landing together a 60% chance, a fair price of 4/6 (1.66). 18+, please gamble responsibly.