How it finished
Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1. Bawler's model favoured RB Leipzig at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Werder Bremen 29%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Werder Bremen had 12 shots (7 on target) to RB Leipzig's 19 (5), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 1.6, so RB Leipzig created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1. Bawler's model favoured RB Leipzig at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Werder Bremen 29%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Werder Bremen had 12 shots (7 on target) to RB Leipzig's 19 (5), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 1.6, so RB Leipzig created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Werder Bremen 29%, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 46%.
What were the stats in Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 12–19, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 5–14, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–7, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–8, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Yes — both Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RB Leipzig or draw 71%, it finished Werder Bremen won (29% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.