How it finished
Arouca beat Vitória de Guimaraes 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vitória de Guimaraes at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Arouca 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Vitória de Guimaraes had 24 shots (3 on target) to Arouca's 4 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 0.5, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Arouca beat Vitória de Guimaraes 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vitória de Guimaraes at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Arouca 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Vitória de Guimaraes had 24 shots (3 on target) to Arouca's 4 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 0.5, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Vitória de Guimaraes 0–1 Arouca, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vitória de Guimaraes 49%, the draw 31% and Arouca 20%.
What were the stats in Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.5, Shots 24–4, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 16–3, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–7, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–5, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca?
No. It finished 0–1, so Vitória de Guimaraes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Vitória de Guimaraes 49%, it finished Arouca (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.