Vitória de Guimaraes vs 
Arouca
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Vitória de GuimaraesstepAroucaVitória de Guimaraes average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Arouca average 3.2 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Vitória de Guimaraes and Arouca — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Vitória de Guimaraes 49% · draw 31% · Arouca 20%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Vitória de Guimaraes 0–1 AroucaModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.