What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Viktoria Plzen vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Bawler's model rates this match: Viktoria Plzen are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Union St.-Gilloise, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Viktoria Plzen vs Union St.-Gilloise?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Union St.-Gilloise (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.59.
How does Bawler predict Viktoria Plzen vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Viktoria Plzen 40%, the draw 28% and Union St.-Gilloise 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Union St.-Gilloise?
BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.38 and away expected goals 1.21.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Viktoria Plzen vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.59. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).