VfB Stuttgart beat Viking FK 3–1. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. VfB Stuttgart had 17 shots (3 on target) to Viking FK's 9 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
VfB Stuttgart beat Viking FK 3–1. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. VfB Stuttgart had 17 shots (3 on target) to Viking FK's 9 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.7.
VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Viking FK, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with VfB Stuttgart 57%, the draw 23% and Viking FK 20%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.7, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 5–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
Yes — both VfB Stuttgart and Viking FK scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said VfB Stuttgart or draw 80%, it finished VfB Stuttgart won (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.