VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK prediction — Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 17:45 UK

Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 17:45 UK
VfB Stuttgart 57Draw 23Viking FK 20
Our call before kickoff
80%
VfB Stuttgart or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

VfB Stuttgart beat Viking FK 3–1. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. VfB Stuttgart had 17 shots (3 on target) to Viking FK's 9 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.7.

VfB StuttgartFull-time statsViking FK
62%Possession38%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.7
17Shots9
3Shots on target3
11Shots inside box5
5Big chances1
3Corners5
2Saves0
13Fouls13
4Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVfB Stuttgart or draw 80%VfB Stuttgart won (57% called)
Total goals3.24
Both teams to score59%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

VfB StuttgartViking FK
2.0
Goals+0.9
1.1
17.5
Shots+9.9
7.6
6.5
Corners+1.2
5.2
VfB StuttgartViking FK
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
8.1
Shots+4.6
3.5
3.0
Corners+0.6
2.5
VfB StuttgartViking FK
1.4
Goals+0.7
0.7
9.4
Shots+5.2
4.1
3.4
Corners+0.7
2.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
VfB Stuttgart to score87%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Viking FK to score68%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

VfB Stuttgart
59%
to score before half-time
Viking FK
39%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

VfB StuttgartViking FK
8.11st-half shots3.5
3.01st-half shots on target2.7
3.01st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

64%Chance of 7+ shots11%
42%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
76%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
35%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
75%Chance of 2+ corners65%
36%Chance of 4+ corners25%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · VfB Stuttgart8.19.4
Shots · Viking FK3.54.1
Shots on target · VfB Stuttgart3.03.5
Shots on target · Viking FK2.73.3
Corners · VfB Stuttgart3.03.4
Corners · Viking FK2.52.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
Viking FK in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

VfB Stuttgart beat Viking FK 3–1. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. VfB Stuttgart had 17 shots (3 on target) to Viking FK's 9 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.7.

What was the final score in VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Viking FK, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with VfB Stuttgart 57%, the draw 23% and Viking FK 20%.

What were the stats in VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.7, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 5–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–0, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

Yes — both VfB Stuttgart and Viking FK scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said VfB Stuttgart or draw 80%, it finished VfB Stuttgart won (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →VfB Stuttgart form →Viking FK form →