VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK prediction — Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 17:45 UK

Champions League · Wed 9 Sept · 17:45 UK
VfB Stuttgart 57Draw 23Viking FK 20
The call
80%
VfB Stuttgart or draw
3.2
Goals expected
10d 12hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

VfB Stuttgart to score87%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Viking FK to score68%
Under 3.5 goals61%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

VfB Stuttgart
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Deniz Undav
FW · 5.5 shots expected
100%
86%
58%
Tiago Tomás
MF · 3.1 shots expected
96%
57%
21%
Ermedin Demirovic
FW · 3.1 shots expected
95%
77%
44%
Chris Führich
MF · 2.7 shots expected
93%
69%
32%
Bilal El Khannouss
MF · 2.6 shots expected
92%
57%
20%
Jamie Leweling
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
54%
18%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D D W D W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
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Common questions

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

Bawler's model rates this match: VfB Stuttgart are favoured (57% win probability vs 20% for Viking FK, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Viking FK (10.4% probability). Expected total goals: 3.15.

How does Bawler predict VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives VfB Stuttgart 57%, the draw 23% and Viking FK 20%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.02 and away expected goals 1.13.

Over or under 2.5 goals in VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.15. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →VfB Stuttgart form →Viking FK form →