Barcelona beat Valencia 5–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Valencia had 3 shots (2 on target) to Barcelona's 25 (10), with 27% of the ball against 73%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 4.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Barcelona beat Valencia 5–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Valencia had 3 shots (2 on target) to Barcelona's 25 (10), with 27% of the ball against 73%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 4.1.
Valencia 0–5 Barcelona, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Valencia 28%, the draw 25% and Barcelona 47%.
Full-time: Possession 27%–73%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–4.1, Shots 3–25, Shots on target 2–10, Shots inside box 3–19, Big chances 1–6, Corners 1–4, Saves 5–2, Fouls 7–6, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 0–5, so Valencia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona or draw 72%, it finished Barcelona won (47% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.