Udinese vs Lazio prediction — Serie A · Mon 7 Sept · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Mon 7 Sept · 19:45 UK
Udinese 38Draw 28Lazio 34
The call
66%
Udinese or draw
2.5
Goals expected
14d 05hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Under 3.5 goals75%
Udinese to score73%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W L L W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5UDI 2 · D 3 · LAZ 0

Head to head

Apr 2026Lazio 3–3 Udinese
Dec 2025Udinese 1–1 Lazio
Mar 2025Lazio 1–1 Udinese
Aug 2024Udinese 2–1 Lazio
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Common questions

Who will win Udinese vs Lazio?

Bawler's model rates this match: Udinese are favoured (38% win probability vs 34% for Lazio, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lazio?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Udinese 1-1 Lazio (13.5% probability). Expected total goals: 2.53.

How does Bawler predict Udinese vs Lazio?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Udinese 38%, the draw 28% and Lazio 34%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lazio?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.30 and away expected goals 1.23.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Udinese vs Lazio?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.53. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Udinese form →Lazio form →