Lazio beat Udinese 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Udinese at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 34%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Udinese had 10 shots (6 on target) to Lazio's 19 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 61%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Lazio beat Udinese 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Udinese at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 34%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Udinese had 10 shots (6 on target) to Lazio's 19 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Udinese 1–2 Lazio, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Udinese 37%, the draw 29% and Lazio 34%.
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 10–19, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 6–10, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–8, Saves 5–5, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 5–1.
Yes — both Udinese and Lazio scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Udinese or draw 66%, it finished Lazio won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed.