Türkiye vs United States
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 80% because combined xG of 2.82 and a razor-thin win-probability spread (Türkiye 36%, USMNT 33%) point to an open, goal-heavy encounter.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Türkiye vs United States — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Türkiye and United States — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Türkiye 36% · draw 31% · United States 33%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.