How it finished
Borussia Dortmund beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. TSG Hoffenheim had 18 shots (6 on target) to Borussia Dortmund's 11 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. TSG Hoffenheim had 18 shots (6 on target) to Borussia Dortmund's 11 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.0.
What was the final score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia Dortmund, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with TSG Hoffenheim 36%, the draw 25% and Borussia Dortmund 39%.
What were the stats in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.0, Shots 18–11, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 4–3, Corners 10–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–7, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Yes — both TSG Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Borussia Dortmund or draw 64%, it finished Borussia Dortmund won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.