TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 5 Sept · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 5 Sept · 14:30 UK
TSG Hoffenheim 36Draw 26Borussia Dortmund 38
The call
38%
Borussia Dortmund to win
3.0
Goals expected
13d 13hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

TSG Hoffenheim or draw62%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
BTTS60%
TSG Hoffenheim win to nil17%
Borussia Dortmund or draw64%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W D W L W
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
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Common questions

Who will win TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bawler's model rates this match: Borussia Dortmund are favoured (38% win probability vs 36% for TSG Hoffenheim, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is TSG Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.97.

How does Bawler predict TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives TSG Hoffenheim 36%, the draw 26% and Borussia Dortmund 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.46 and away expected goals 1.51.

Over or under 2.5 goals in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.97. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →TSG Hoffenheim form →Borussia Dortmund form →