Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK
Tottenham Hotspur 37Draw 26Newcastle United 37
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Newcastle United beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 17 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 11 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.

Tottenham…Full-time statsNewcastle…
58%Possession42%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.8
17Shots11
6Shots on target2
10Shots inside box7
1Big chances1
9Corners7
0Saves4
15Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNewcastle United 37%Newcastle United (37% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Newcastle United to score76%
Tottenham Hotspur to score76%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Tottenham HotspurBefore half-timeNewcastle United
46%Chance to score63%
6.2Expected shots6.0
2.0Expected shots on target2.6
3.3Expected corners3.0
72%Chance of 5+ shots69%
42%Chance of 7+ shots39%
60%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
14%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
82%Chance of 2+ corners78%
41%Chance of 4+ corners36%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 80%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5TOT 0 · D 2 · NEW 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Feb 2026Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Newcastle United
Dec 2025Newcastle United 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur
Oct 2025Newcastle United 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur
Aug 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Newcastle United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

Newcastle United beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Tottenham Hotspur had 17 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 11 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 Newcastle United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tottenham Hotspur 37%, the draw 26% and Newcastle United 37%.

What were the stats in Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 10–7, Big chances 1–1, Corners 9–7, Saves 0–4, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?

No. It finished 0–2, so Tottenham Hotspur failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Newcastle United 37%, it finished Newcastle United (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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