Sunderland beat Torreense 2–1. Torreense had 3 shots (1 on target) to Sunderland's 22 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.8.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Sunderland beat Torreense 2–1. Torreense had 3 shots (1 on target) to Sunderland's 22 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.8.
Torreense 1–2 Sunderland, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Torreense 34%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 40%.
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–1.8, Shots 3–22, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 0–14, Big chances 0–0, Corners 2–9, Saves 3–0, Fouls 13–19, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Torreense and Sunderland scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.