Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Torreense v Celtic prediction
Celtic are narrow favourites on our numbers, at 41%. Torreense are 35%, and the draw 24%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Torreense 1–2 Celtic, the most likely Celtic win (9%). Torreense are expected to score 1.6 goals and Celtic 1.7, 3.3 between them. Both teams scoring is 66% and three or more goals is 65%.
Camilo Durán is the player we expect to shoot most: 3.0 shots and 1.4 on target for Celtic, if they start. For cards, Colby Donovan (Celtic) has been booked once every 3 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. Torreense come in with two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last six. Celtic have three wins, one draw and two defeats over the same run.
On shots, our forecast is 12.1 for Torreense and 16.6 for Celtic, with 3.9 and 6.2 on target, and corners at 4.8 to 5.5. So we expect Celtic to do more of the shooting. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Over 23.5 Total Shots, Over 7.5 Total Corners and Over 7.5 Total Shots on Target. The chance all three land is 57% on our numbers, so the fair price is 8/11, or 1.76.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Torreense · last 5
Celtic · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Celtic or draw is 65% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premiership table →Common questions
Who will win Torreense vs Celtic?
Bawler's model rates this match: Celtic are favoured (41% win probability vs 35% for Torreense, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Celtic?
Bawler's predicted score is Torreense 1-2 Celtic: the most likely score if Celtic win, which is the likeliest result (41%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.5%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
How does Bawler predict Torreense vs Celtic?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Torreense 35%, the draw 24% and Celtic 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Torreense vs Celtic?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 66% chance. That is based on Torreense expecting 1.58 goals and Celtic 1.74.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Torreense vs Celtic?
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 65%.
When are the Torreense v Celtic line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Torreense v Celtic?
Over 23.5 Total Shots (80%), Over 7.5 Total Corners (78%), Over 7.5 Total Shots on Target (77%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 57% chance, a fair price of 8/11 (1.76). 18+, please gamble responsibly.