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Toronto FC vs CF Montréal prediction — MLS · Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 UK

MLS · Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 UK
CF MontréalCF Montréal
42Toronto FC win27Draw31CF Montréal win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Toronto FC beat CF Montréal 2–1. Toronto FC had 14 shots (5 on target) to CF Montréal's 16 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.

Toronto FCFull-time statsCF Montréal
52%Possession48%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.6
14Shots16
5Shots on target7
12Shots inside box12
4Big chances2
8Corners6
6Saves3
9Fouls17
4Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Toronto FC win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.2
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
52%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Toronto FCToronto FCCF MontréalCF Montréal
1.5Goals1.2
15.0Shots12.6
5.2On target5.5
5.0Corners4.9
Toronto FCToronto FCCF MontréalCF Montréal
0.4Goals0.5
6.8Shots5.2
2.1On target2.3
2.4Corners2.3
Toronto FCToronto FCCF MontréalCF Montréal
1.1Goals0.7
8.2Shots7.3
3.1On target3.2
2.7Corners2.6

What we said the chances were

Toronto FC to score78%
2 or more goals76%
CF Montréal to score71%
3 goals or fewer70%
Goal before half-time60%

First half — what we expected

Toronto FC
31%
to score before half-time
CF Montréal
41%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Toronto FCToronto FCCF MontréalCF Montréal
62%6+ shots41%
38%8+ shots20%
85%1+ shots on target86%
35%3+ shots on target39%
86%1+ corners85%
40%3+ corners39%

League position

CF Montréal in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jul 2026CF Montréal 0–0 Toronto FC
Aug 2025Toronto FC 1–1 CF Montréal
May 2025CF Montréal 1–6 Toronto FC
Apr 2025Toronto FC 2–2 CF Montréal
Jul 2024CF Montréal 0–1 Toronto FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Toronto FC form →CF Montréal form →

Common questions

Who won Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Toronto FC beat CF Montréal 2–1. Toronto FC had 14 shots (5 on target) to CF Montréal's 16 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montréal, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 42%, the draw 27% and CF Montréal 31%.

What were the stats in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.6, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 12–12, Big chances 4–2, Corners 8–6, Saves 6–3, Fouls 9–17, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?

Yes — both Toronto FC and CF Montréal scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.