Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction — Eredivisie · Fri 14 Aug · 19:00 UK

Eredivisie · Fri 14 Aug · 19:00 UK
Telstar 51Draw 27Sparta Rotterdam 22
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3

How it finished

Sparta Rotterdam beat Telstar 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sparta Rotterdam 22%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Telstar had 7 shots (1 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 16 (9), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.5.

TelstarFull-time statsSparta…
61%Possession39%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.5
7Shots16
1Shots on target9
4Shots inside box13
1Big chances6
7Corners5
6Saves0
13Fouls17
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultTelstar 51%Sparta Rotterdam (22% called)
Total goals3.24
Both teams to score60%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Telstar to score86%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Sparta Rotterdam to score70%
Under 3.5 goals61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Sparta Rotterdam beat Telstar 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sparta Rotterdam 22%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Telstar had 7 shots (1 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 16 (9), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.5.

What was the final score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Telstar 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam, played on 14 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 51%, the draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 22%.

What were the stats in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.5, Shots 7–16, Shots on target 1–9, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 1–6, Corners 7–5, Saves 6–0, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Yes — both Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Telstar 51%, it finished Sparta Rotterdam (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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