Betting picks · 18+·England: EFL Cup·Saturday 08 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Swansea City vs Birmingham City — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 68.9% · @ 1.45
DARK HORSE
Draw
Model 22.8% · @ 4.38
BAWL OUT
Under 8.5 SOT + Over 1.5 goals + Swansea City or draw
Model 33.3% · @ 3.01x
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly