How it finished
Birmingham City beat Swansea City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Swansea City at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Birmingham City 23%. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Swansea City had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham City's 6 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.8, so Swansea City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
Birmingham City beat Swansea City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Swansea City at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Birmingham City 23%. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Swansea City had 14 shots (2 on target) to Birmingham City's 6 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.8, so Swansea City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
Swansea City 0–1 Birmingham City, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Swansea City 43%, the draw 34% and Birmingham City 23%.
What were the stats in Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.8, Shots 14–6, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 10–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–4, Saves 0–2, Fouls 12–19, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
No. It finished 0–1, so Swansea City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Swansea City vs Birmingham City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Swansea City 43%, it finished Birmingham City (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 69%, it finished Missed.