Bayern Munich beat SV Elversberg 2–1. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals; only 3 were scored. SV Elversberg had 5 shots (1 on target) to Bayern Munich's 28 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Bayern Munich beat SV Elversberg 2–1. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals; only 3 were scored. SV Elversberg had 5 shots (1 on target) to Bayern Munich's 28 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 2.4.
SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern Munich, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SV Elversberg 12%, the draw 16% and Bayern Munich 73%.
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–2.4, Shots 5–28, Shots on target 1–6, Shots inside box 3–16, Big chances 2–4, Corners 3–9, Saves 3–0, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Yes — both SV Elversberg and Bayern Munich scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 73%, it finished Bayern Munich won (73% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes.