FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Sunday, 13 September 2026
SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern MunichMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
SV Elversberg win
12%
Draw
16%
Bayern Munich win
73%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 2.9
Total 4.0
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 2.4
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.