Betting picks · 18+·ENGLAND: Championship·Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Stoke City vs Swansea City — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 69.9% · @ 1.43
VALUE
Under 2.5 goals
Model 51.9% · @ 1.92
DARK HORSE
Swansea City or draw
Model 31.7% · @ 3.16
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + Stoke City or draw + Over 8.5 SOT
Model 27.0% · @ 3.70x
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly