Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Norwich City at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Stoke City 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Stoke City had 6 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 15 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.3, so Norwich City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's last six first halves.
What we read at half-time appears here once it loads.
Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Norwich City at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Stoke City 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Stoke City had 6 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 15 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.3, so Norwich City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Stoke City 1–0 Norwich City, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 33%, the draw 27% and Norwich City 40%.
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.3, Shots 6–15, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 1–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 16–10, Offsides 7–4, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Norwich City 40%, it finished Stoke City (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.