Stoke City vs Norwich City prediction — Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 20:00 UK

Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 20:00 UK
Stoke City 33Draw 27Norwich City 40
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Norwich City at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Stoke City 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Stoke City had 6 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 15 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.3, so Norwich City created the better chances and still lost the game.

Stoke CityFull-time statsNorwich City
28%Possession72%
0.2Expected goals (xG)1.3
6Shots15
3Shots on target6
4Shots inside box6
1Big chances3
3Corners5
5Saves2
16Fouls10
7Offsides4
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNorwich City 40%Stoke City (33% called)
Total goals2.81
Both teams to score56%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected · full match

Stoke CityNorwich City
1.3Goals1.5
13.3Shots11.9
4.6On target4.4
5.3Corners4.2

What we expected

MarketProbability
Norwich City to score77%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Stoke City to score73%
Under 3.5 goals70%

First half — what we expected

Stoke City
49%
to score before half-time
Norwich City
48%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Stoke CityNorwich City
6.41st-half shots5.6
2.31st-half shots on target2.1
2.51st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

69%Chance of 5+ shots60%
44%Chance of 7+ shots33%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target84%
38%Chance of 3+ shots on target34%
87%Chance of 1+ corners81%
43%Chance of 3+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Stoke City6.47.0
Shots · Norwich City5.66.3
Shots on target · Stoke City2.32.3
Shots on target · Norwich City2.12.4
Corners · Stoke City2.52.8
Corners · Norwich City2.02.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's last six first halves.

Second half — who scores?

What we read at half-time appears here once it loads.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Stoke City beat Norwich City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Norwich City at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Stoke City 33%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Stoke City had 6 shots (3 on target) to Norwich City's 15 (6), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.3, so Norwich City created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Stoke City 1–0 Norwich City, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 33%, the draw 27% and Norwich City 40%.

What were the stats in Stoke City vs Norwich City?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.3, Shots 6–15, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 1–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 16–10, Offsides 7–4, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Norwich City?

No. It finished 1–0, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Norwich City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Norwich City 40%, it finished Stoke City (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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