St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 01:30 UK
St. Louis CITY SC 44Draw 30Real Salt Lake 26
The call
74%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

St. Louis CITY SC and Real Salt Lake drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. St. Louis CITY SC had 20 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 9 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.5.

St. Louis…Full-time statsReal Salt…
67%Possession33%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.5
20Shots9
4Shots on target3
11Shots inside box6
2Big chances1
9Corners4
2Saves3
12Fouls10
2Offsides1
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSt. Louis CITY SC 44%Draw (30% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 74%Landed
Second call1X 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
St. Louis CITY SC to score80%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Real Salt Lake to score70%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake?

St. Louis CITY SC and Real Salt Lake drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. St. Louis CITY SC had 20 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 9 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.5.

What was the final score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake?

St. Louis CITY SC 1–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with St. Louis CITY SC 44%, the draw 30% and Real Salt Lake 26%.

What were the stats in St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.5, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Yes — both St. Louis CITY SC and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said St. Louis CITY SC 44%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →St. Louis CITY SC form →Real Salt Lake form →