Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Friday 10 Jul, 19:00 UTC
Spain vs Belgium — picks
Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.
BANKER
Spain or draw
Model 79.5% · @ 1.26
VALUE
Both teams to score
Model 54.1% · @ 1.85
DARK HORSE
Draw
Model 23.1% · @ 4.33
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + Fewer than 11 corners + Spain to win
Model 27.0% · @ 3.70x
Star picks · player props
top 3Anytime Scorer
Romelu Lukaku
Belgium · Napoli
48%@ 2.08x fair
Anytime Assist
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium · Napoli
44%@ 2.27x fair
Anytime Scorer
Lamine Yamal
Spain · Barcelona
40%@ 2.50x fair
Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly