Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Friday 10 Jul, 19:00 UTC

Spain vs Belgium — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Spain or draw
Model 79.5% · @ 1.26
VALUE
Both teams to score
Model 54.1% · @ 1.85
DARK HORSE
Draw
Model 23.1% · @ 4.33
BAWL OUT
Over 1.5 goals + Fewer than 11 corners + Spain to win
Model 27.0% · @ 3.70x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Romelu Lukaku
Belgium · Napoli
48%@ 2.08x fair
Anytime Assist
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium · Napoli
44%@ 2.27x fair
Anytime Scorer
Lamine Yamal
Spain · Barcelona
40%@ 2.50x fair
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly