What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Sint-Truidense vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Bawler's model rates this match: Union St.-Gilloise are favoured (42% win probability vs 32% for Sint-Truidense, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Sint-Truidense vs Union St.-Gilloise?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sint-Truidense 1-1 Union St.-Gilloise (12.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.85.
How does Bawler predict Sint-Truidense vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sint-Truidense 32%, the draw 26% and Union St.-Gilloise 42%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Sint-Truidense vs Union St.-Gilloise?
BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.32 and away expected goals 1.54.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Sint-Truidense vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.85. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).