How it finished
Shakhtar Donetsk beat AEK Athens 3–1. Shakhtar Donetsk had 12 shots (4 on target) to AEK Athens' 13 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
Shakhtar Donetsk beat AEK Athens 3–1. Shakhtar Donetsk had 12 shots (4 on target) to AEK Athens' 13 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Shakhtar Donetsk 23%, the draw 25% and AEK Athens 52%.
What were the stats in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.1, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–1, Fouls 16–17, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
Yes — both Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.