FT · Europe: Champions League · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CPMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Sporting CP or Draw✓
Sporting CP Over 9.5 Shots✓
Luis Suárez 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Shakhtar Donetsk win
21%
Draw
24%
Sporting CP win
54%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.8
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.