FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Internazionale 1–0 Shakhtar DonetskMatch recap · Wednesday, 21 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Internazionale win
83%
Result
Draw
11%
Shakhtar Donetsk win
6%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
3.1 – 0.8
Total 3.9
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.