Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 01:30 UK
49Seattle Sounders FC win24Draw27Minnesota United FC win
Our call before kickoff
73%
Seattle Sounders FC or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Seattle Sounders FC beat Minnesota United FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 13 shots (8 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 14 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.8.

Seattle…Full-time statsMinnesota…
55%Possession45%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.8
13Shots14
8Shots on target2
10Shots inside box10
5Big chances1
5Corners7
0Saves5
12Fouls6
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSeattle Sounders FC or draw 73%Seattle Sounders FC won (49% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score61%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Seattle Sounders FC to score84%
2 or more goals82%
Goal before half-time76%
Minnesota United FC to score73%
3 goals or fewer62%
Both teams score61%
3 or more goals61%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1.8Goals1.3
16.3Shots12.4
5.2On target5.0
5.1Corners5.1
Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
0.8Goals0.6
7.4Shots5.6
2.2On target2.3
2.4Corners2.4
Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1.0Goals0.7
8.9Shots6.8
2.9On target2.7
2.7Corners2.7

Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Seattle Sounders FC
56%
to score before half-time
Minnesota United FC
47%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
68%6+ shots47%
44%8+ shots24%
86%1+ shots on target87%
38%3+ shots on target39%
86%1+ corners87%
41%3+ corners42%

League position

Minnesota United FC in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Minnesota United 0–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Nov 2025Minnesota United 3–3 Seattle Sounders FC
Nov 2025Seattle Sounders FC 4–2 Minnesota United
Oct 2025Minnesota United 0–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Aug 2025Minnesota United 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?

Seattle Sounders FC beat Minnesota United FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 13 shots (8 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 14 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?

Seattle Sounders FC 3–1 Minnesota United FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 49%, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 27%.

What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.8, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 5–1, Corners 5–7, Saves 0–5, Fouls 12–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?

Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 73%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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