FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Colorado Rapids 2–2 Minnesota United FCMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Colorado Rapids or draw at 70%. Bawler had Colorado Rapids at 45%, the draw at 25% and Minnesota United FC at 30%. The match finished 2–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Colorado Rapids win
45%
Draw
25%
Result
Minnesota United FC win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.4
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Medium confidence
Colorado Rapids or draw
Pre-match: 70%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 38%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.