Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Bayern Munich at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 15%. It forecast 4.0 goals; nobody scored. Schalke 04 had 4 shots (1 on target) to Bayern Munich's 15 (5), with 17% of the ball against 83%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Bayern Munich at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 15%. It forecast 4.0 goals; nobody scored. Schalke 04 had 4 shots (1 on target) to Bayern Munich's 15 (5), with 17% of the ball against 83%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.
Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern Munich, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Schalke 04 12%, the draw 15% and Bayern Munich 73%.
Full-time: Possession 17%–83%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.1, Shots 4–15, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 0–6, Corners 0–11, Saves 5–1, Fouls 5–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Schalke 04 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 73%, it finished Draw (15% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No.