Royal Charleroi SC vs KV Mechelen prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 22 Aug · 17:15 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 22 Aug · 17:15 UK
Royal Charleroi SC 57Draw 24KV Mechelen 19
Our call before kickoff
81%
Royal Charleroi SC or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Royal Charleroi SC beat KV Mechelen 2–0. Bawler's model had Royal Charleroi SC in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Royal Charleroi SC had 12 shots (4 on target) to KV Mechelen's 5 (0), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.2.

Royal…Full-time statsKV Mechelen
60%Possession40%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.2
12Shots5
4Shots on target0
8Shots inside box2
3Big chances0
3Corners2
0Saves2
8Fouls15
0Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRoyal Charleroi SC or draw 81%Royal Charleroi SC won (57% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score53%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Royal Charleroi SCKV Mechelen
1.9
Goals+0.9
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Royal Charleroi SC to score84%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals68%
KV Mechelen to score63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
KV Mechelen in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Royal Charleroi SC vs KV Mechelen?

Royal Charleroi SC beat KV Mechelen 2–0. Bawler's model had Royal Charleroi SC in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Royal Charleroi SC had 12 shots (4 on target) to KV Mechelen's 5 (0), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Royal Charleroi SC vs KV Mechelen?

Royal Charleroi SC 2–0 KV Mechelen, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Royal Charleroi SC 57%, the draw 24% and KV Mechelen 19%.

What were the stats in Royal Charleroi SC vs KV Mechelen?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.2, Shots 12–5, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 8–2, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–2, Saves 0–2, Fouls 8–15, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs KV Mechelen?

No. It finished 2–0, so KV Mechelen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs KV Mechelen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Royal Charleroi SC or draw 81%, it finished Royal Charleroi SC won (57% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Royal Charleroi SC form →KV Mechelen form →