How it finished
Riga FC and Kairat Almaty drew 1–1. Riga FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty?
Riga FC and Kairat Almaty drew 1–1. Riga FC had 18 shots (8 on target) to Kairat Almaty's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty?
Riga FC 1–1 Kairat Almaty, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Riga FC 51%, the draw 26% and Kairat Almaty 23%.
What were the stats in Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.2, Shots 18–14, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–3, Saves 3–7, Fouls 8–16, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty?
Yes — both Riga FC and Kairat Almaty scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.