FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Kairat Almaty 1–5 PanathinaikosMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Kairat Almaty win
21%
Draw
25%
Panathinaikos win
54%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 1.8
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 5
Total 6 (+3.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 2.5
From the match itself
The match produced 3.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.