FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Atalanta 1–1 Kairat AlmatyMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickVoid
Atalanta or Draw✓
Marc Gual 1+ Foul Committed✓
Nikola Krstović 1+ Shot on TargetVoid
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Atalanta win
85%
Draw
11%
Result
Kairat Almaty win
5%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
3.1 – 0.7
Total 3.8
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.