FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Real Salt Lake had 14 shots (7 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Real Salt Lake had 14 shots (7 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.
Real Salt Lake 3–4 FC Dallas, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 41%, the draw 26% and FC Dallas 33%.
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.9, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 7–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Yes — both Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Salt Lake 41%, it finished FC Dallas (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.