Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 02:30 UK
Real Salt Lake 41Draw 26FC Dallas 33
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–4

How it finished

FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Real Salt Lake had 14 shots (7 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.

Real Salt…Full-time statsFC Dallas
59%Possession41%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.9
14Shots13
7Shots on target5
9Shots inside box7
7Big chances2
6Corners3
1Saves4
11Fouls13
0Offsides1
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultReal Salt Lake 41%FC Dallas (33% called)
Total goals2.97
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Real Salt Lake to score79%
Over 1.5 goals79%
FC Dallas to score74%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAL 1 · D 1 · DAL 3
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

May 2026FC Dallas 3–1 Real Salt Lake
Jan 2026Real Salt Lake 0–2 FC Dallas
May 2025FC Dallas 1–1 Real Salt Lake
Mar 2025Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Dallas
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Real Salt Lake had 14 shots (7 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Real Salt Lake 3–4 FC Dallas, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 41%, the draw 26% and FC Dallas 33%.

What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.9, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 7–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

Yes — both Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Salt Lake 41%, it finished FC Dallas (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Real Salt Lake form →FC Dallas form →