Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals at 77% probability sits comfortably on a combined 2.99 xG and Portland's 1.59 shot creation at home, where both sides project to trade chances consistently.
Portland TimbersstepSeattle Sounders FCPortland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Seattle Sounders average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 17 July 2026, Portland Timbers have won 1, Seattle Sounders have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17 July 2026 | Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland Timbers | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 39% · draw 30% · Seattle Sounders 31%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.