Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 77% probability because Portland's home setup and Dallas's attacking intent combine for 2.95 total expected goals—enough to crack the under despite Dallas's marginal 6-point win edge.
Portland TimbersstepFC DallasPortland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Dallas average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Portland Timbers vs Dallas — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Portland Timbers and Dallas — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 32% · draw 30% · Dallas 38%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Portland Timbers 2–2 FC DallasModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.