Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 00:30 UK
Philadelphia Union 49Draw 28Atlanta United FC 23
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

Philadelphia Union beat Atlanta United FC 3–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Philadelphia Union had 30 shots (6 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 4 (2), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.

Philadelphia…Full-time statsAtlanta…
71%Possession29%
2.6Expected goals (xG)0.5
30Shots4
6Shots on target2
25Shots inside box3
3Big chances2
12Corners2
0Saves3
15Fouls5
3Offsides2
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultPhiladelphia Union 49%Philadelphia Union (49% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Philadelphia Union to score84%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Atlanta United FC to score70%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?

Philadelphia Union beat Atlanta United FC 3–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Philadelphia Union had 30 shots (6 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 4 (2), with 71% of the ball against 29%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?

Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 49%, the draw 28% and Atlanta United FC 23%.

What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?

Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.5, Shots 30–4, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 25–3, Big chances 3–2, Corners 12–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 15–5, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?

Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Philadelphia Union 49%, it finished Philadelphia Union (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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