Paris FC vs Nice prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 14:00 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 30 Aug · 14:00 UK
Paris FC 49Draw 25Nice 26
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0

How it finished

Paris FC beat Nice 3–0. Bawler's model had Paris FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Paris FC had 15 shots (4 on target) to Nice's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.7.

Paris FCFull-time statsNice
45%Possession55%
2.9Expected goals (xG)0.7
15Shots15
4Shots on target4
10Shots inside box9
5Big chances0
2Corners4
4Saves1
7Fouls7
2Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultParis FC 49%Paris FC (49% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score59%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second call1X 74%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Paris FC to score83%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Nice to score71%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Paris FCBefore half-timeNice
56%Chance to score56%
8.2Expected shots6.5
3.1Expected shots on target2.0
3.4Expected corners2.2
69%Chance of 7+ shots47%
43%Chance of 9+ shots23%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target61%
37%Chance of 4+ shots on target15%
83%Chance of 2+ corners62%
43%Chance of 4+ corners19%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 81%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PAR 1 · D 1 · NIC 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Paris FC 1–0 Nice
Sept 2025Nice 1–1 Paris FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Paris FC vs Nice?

Paris FC beat Nice 3–0. Bawler's model had Paris FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Paris FC had 15 shots (4 on target) to Nice's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Paris FC vs Nice?

Paris FC 3–0 Nice, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Paris FC 49%, the draw 25% and Nice 26%.

What were the stats in Paris FC vs Nice?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.7, Shots 15–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 5–0, Corners 2–4, Saves 4–1, Fouls 7–7, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Paris FC vs Nice?

No. It finished 3–0, so Nice failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Paris FC vs Nice right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Paris FC 49%, it finished Paris FC (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 74%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Paris FC form →Nice form →