Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 00:30 UK
Orlando City SC 39Draw 26FC Cincinnati 35
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Orlando City SC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. Orlando City SC had 17 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 11 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.

Orlando CityFull-time statsFC Cincinnati
50%Possession50%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.4
17Shots11
5Shots on target3
11Shots inside box8
2Big chances3
10Corners5
2Saves4
7Fouls12
1Offsides8
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultOrlando City SC 39%Draw (26% called)
Total goals3.72
Both teams to score71%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed
Second call1X 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals88%
Orlando City SC to score85%
FC Cincinnati to score83%
Over 2.5 goals71%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ORL 1 · D 1 · CIN 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City
Sept 2025FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City
Jun 2025Orlando City 1–2 FC Cincinnati
Oct 2024FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Orlando City SC at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.7 goals; only 2 were scored. Orlando City SC had 17 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 11 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 39%, the draw 26% and FC Cincinnati 35%.

What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.4, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 2–3, Corners 10–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 1–8, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Yes — both Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 71% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Orlando City SC 39%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 71%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Orlando City SC form →FC Cincinnati form →