OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge KSV drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. OH Leuven had 10 shots (2 on target) to Cercle Brugge KSV's 13 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge KSV drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. OH Leuven had 10 shots (2 on target) to Cercle Brugge KSV's 13 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.6.
OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge KSV, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with OH Leuven 34%, the draw 24% and Cercle Brugge KSV 42%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.6, Shots 10–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 1–1, Corners 2–11, Saves 2–1, Fouls 17–18, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
Yes — both OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge KSV scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cercle Brugge KSV or draw 66%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.