OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction — Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 17:45 UK
OFI Crete 36Draw 27TSG Hoffenheim 37
The call
64%
TSG Hoffenheim or draw
2.9
Goals expected
13d 07hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals78%
TSG Hoffenheim to score76%
OFI Crete to score76%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

TSG Hoffenheim
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Fisnik Asllani
FW · 2.7 shots expected
93%
65%
28%
Tim Lemperle
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
63%
26%
Andrej Kramaric
MF · 2.3 shots expected
90%
64%
27%
Bazoumana Touré
FW · 1.9 shots expected
86%
47%
13%
Grischa Prömel
MF · 1.9 shots expected
86%
45%
12%
Ozan Kabak
DF · 1.6 shots expected
79%
36%
7%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W W L D
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
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Common questions

Who will win OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Bawler's model rates this match: TSG Hoffenheim are favoured (37% win probability vs 36% for OFI Crete, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is OFI Crete 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim (12.4% probability). Expected total goals: 2.85.

How does Bawler predict OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives OFI Crete 36%, the draw 27% and TSG Hoffenheim 37%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.42 and away expected goals 1.44.

Over or under 2.5 goals in OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.85. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →OFI Crete form →TSG Hoffenheim form →