FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Stade Rennais 2–1 OFI CreteMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Stade Rennais or draw at 71%. Bawler had Stade Rennais at 47%, the draw at 24% and OFI Crete at 29%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Stade Rennais win
47%
Result
Draw
24%
OFI Crete win
29%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.4
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Medium confidence
Stade Rennais or draw
Pre-match: 71%
Landed
Outside shot
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 38%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.